The margin of victory for each Congressional district is projected using Eight primary indicators:
1. The Voting History of Each Congressional District
2. The Incumbent’s Performance in the Last Election
3. Polling
4. Fundraising
5. Political Experience of the Candidates
6. National Environment
7. First Round of Elections (For States with Runoffs)
8. Candidate Quality
In the early stages of the election, before candidates are finalized, and high quality polling and fundraising data are available, it will be informed by the House ratings from the Cook Political Report and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
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